Assesing covariate significance in geographically weighted logistic regression?What are the most efficient...

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Assesing covariate significance in geographically weighted logistic regression?


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In a logistic regression the significance (p) of each covariate can be calculated.



For the case of a geographically weighted logistic regression (GWLR), I currently am working on a model for event prediction. This means I do not have one global model, but a different model (i.e. different Betas) at each geographical location.



In order to choose what covariates are included in the models I need to be able to assess each covariate for its contribution to the models. Doing so by making use of a p-value seems like the obvious choice.



I am able to calculate the p-values for each covariate for each individual model. Interapolating this to a raster can result in some locations having a high p-value (covariate is not good at explaining here) and low p-value (covariate is good in explaining here). But this only marginally helps me in deciding what covariates to include in the models. For the sake of simplicity I want all the models to include the same covariates.



How can a global p-value (or some other statistic) be calculated per covariate to determine whether a covariate should, or should not, be included in the models?



Since local P-values are calculated with the covariance matrix, and the covariance matrix is based on the logit of the model (which is geographically weighted), calculation of a global p-value (if at all possible) should include a geographic weighting as well.



enter image description here










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  • 2





    Parameter space should not change given a local fit. The parameters are fixed for the model and not locally variable. Unfortunately, with evaluation of significance and fit, you are hinting at one of the many issues with GWR.

    – Jeffrey Evans
    May 31 '17 at 13:35


















1















In a logistic regression the significance (p) of each covariate can be calculated.



For the case of a geographically weighted logistic regression (GWLR), I currently am working on a model for event prediction. This means I do not have one global model, but a different model (i.e. different Betas) at each geographical location.



In order to choose what covariates are included in the models I need to be able to assess each covariate for its contribution to the models. Doing so by making use of a p-value seems like the obvious choice.



I am able to calculate the p-values for each covariate for each individual model. Interapolating this to a raster can result in some locations having a high p-value (covariate is not good at explaining here) and low p-value (covariate is good in explaining here). But this only marginally helps me in deciding what covariates to include in the models. For the sake of simplicity I want all the models to include the same covariates.



How can a global p-value (or some other statistic) be calculated per covariate to determine whether a covariate should, or should not, be included in the models?



Since local P-values are calculated with the covariance matrix, and the covariance matrix is based on the logit of the model (which is geographically weighted), calculation of a global p-value (if at all possible) should include a geographic weighting as well.



enter image description here










share|improve this question
















bumped to the homepage by Community 14 mins ago


This question has answers that may be good or bad; the system has marked it active so that they can be reviewed.











  • 2





    Parameter space should not change given a local fit. The parameters are fixed for the model and not locally variable. Unfortunately, with evaluation of significance and fit, you are hinting at one of the many issues with GWR.

    – Jeffrey Evans
    May 31 '17 at 13:35














1












1








1


1






In a logistic regression the significance (p) of each covariate can be calculated.



For the case of a geographically weighted logistic regression (GWLR), I currently am working on a model for event prediction. This means I do not have one global model, but a different model (i.e. different Betas) at each geographical location.



In order to choose what covariates are included in the models I need to be able to assess each covariate for its contribution to the models. Doing so by making use of a p-value seems like the obvious choice.



I am able to calculate the p-values for each covariate for each individual model. Interapolating this to a raster can result in some locations having a high p-value (covariate is not good at explaining here) and low p-value (covariate is good in explaining here). But this only marginally helps me in deciding what covariates to include in the models. For the sake of simplicity I want all the models to include the same covariates.



How can a global p-value (or some other statistic) be calculated per covariate to determine whether a covariate should, or should not, be included in the models?



Since local P-values are calculated with the covariance matrix, and the covariance matrix is based on the logit of the model (which is geographically weighted), calculation of a global p-value (if at all possible) should include a geographic weighting as well.



enter image description here










share|improve this question
















In a logistic regression the significance (p) of each covariate can be calculated.



For the case of a geographically weighted logistic regression (GWLR), I currently am working on a model for event prediction. This means I do not have one global model, but a different model (i.e. different Betas) at each geographical location.



In order to choose what covariates are included in the models I need to be able to assess each covariate for its contribution to the models. Doing so by making use of a p-value seems like the obvious choice.



I am able to calculate the p-values for each covariate for each individual model. Interapolating this to a raster can result in some locations having a high p-value (covariate is not good at explaining here) and low p-value (covariate is good in explaining here). But this only marginally helps me in deciding what covariates to include in the models. For the sake of simplicity I want all the models to include the same covariates.



How can a global p-value (or some other statistic) be calculated per covariate to determine whether a covariate should, or should not, be included in the models?



Since local P-values are calculated with the covariance matrix, and the covariance matrix is based on the logit of the model (which is geographically weighted), calculation of a global p-value (if at all possible) should include a geographic weighting as well.



enter image description here







arcgis-desktop arcgis-10.3 spatial-statistics regression geographically-weighted-regression






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edited May 31 '17 at 7:50







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bumped to the homepage by Community 14 mins ago


This question has answers that may be good or bad; the system has marked it active so that they can be reviewed.







bumped to the homepage by Community 14 mins ago


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  • 2





    Parameter space should not change given a local fit. The parameters are fixed for the model and not locally variable. Unfortunately, with evaluation of significance and fit, you are hinting at one of the many issues with GWR.

    – Jeffrey Evans
    May 31 '17 at 13:35














  • 2





    Parameter space should not change given a local fit. The parameters are fixed for the model and not locally variable. Unfortunately, with evaluation of significance and fit, you are hinting at one of the many issues with GWR.

    – Jeffrey Evans
    May 31 '17 at 13:35








2




2





Parameter space should not change given a local fit. The parameters are fixed for the model and not locally variable. Unfortunately, with evaluation of significance and fit, you are hinting at one of the many issues with GWR.

– Jeffrey Evans
May 31 '17 at 13:35





Parameter space should not change given a local fit. The parameters are fixed for the model and not locally variable. Unfortunately, with evaluation of significance and fit, you are hinting at one of the many issues with GWR.

– Jeffrey Evans
May 31 '17 at 13:35










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As commented by @JeffreyEvans:




Parameter space should not change given a local fit. The parameters
are fixed for the model and not locally variable. Unfortunately, with
evaluation of significance and fit, you are hinting at one of the many
issues with GWR.







share|improve this answer
























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    As commented by @JeffreyEvans:




    Parameter space should not change given a local fit. The parameters
    are fixed for the model and not locally variable. Unfortunately, with
    evaluation of significance and fit, you are hinting at one of the many
    issues with GWR.







    share|improve this answer




























      0














      As commented by @JeffreyEvans:




      Parameter space should not change given a local fit. The parameters
      are fixed for the model and not locally variable. Unfortunately, with
      evaluation of significance and fit, you are hinting at one of the many
      issues with GWR.







      share|improve this answer


























        0












        0








        0







        As commented by @JeffreyEvans:




        Parameter space should not change given a local fit. The parameters
        are fixed for the model and not locally variable. Unfortunately, with
        evaluation of significance and fit, you are hinting at one of the many
        issues with GWR.







        share|improve this answer













        As commented by @JeffreyEvans:




        Parameter space should not change given a local fit. The parameters
        are fixed for the model and not locally variable. Unfortunately, with
        evaluation of significance and fit, you are hinting at one of the many
        issues with GWR.








        share|improve this answer












        share|improve this answer



        share|improve this answer










        answered Jul 20 '18 at 3:15









        PolyGeoPolyGeo

        54.1k1782247




        54.1k1782247






























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